Sep 18, 2010

Leon de Huanuco - Juan Aurich

Peru Primera Division, Liguilla B

All the conditions are favorable for a home win here. First of all, Leon is practically one of the toughest teams to break at home, losing only one game so far, and recording 2 draws, winning the rest of their 12 matches, and with quite a serious goal difference (34 scored to 10 conceded). Then, they are unbeaten in the last 10 games, but even so they lost the lead in Group B of Liguilla, so expect some extra-motivation from them. And, of course, we have the altitude advantage for them, as well as the temperature advantage, as in Huanuco is very warm, totally different from the temperatures in Chiclayo. And we should add to all of this Juan Aurich's irregular form when playing away from home (only 3 matches won from 15 played) and we should have a solid bet on home win. Both teams should be having full squads, so I'm expecting no surprises from this point of view, as with a loss, Juan Aurich gets out of the title race for sure (even if they win, there are still very slim chances for that). The odds have risen a bit on the handicap for Leon, and now looks more tempting, but only small stakes for that, as Juan Aurich have proven several times they are no push-overs. GL!

Leon Huanuco (-0.75 AH) @ 1.84, 3/10
Result: 1-1, LOST

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