Nov 27, 2010

Espoli - Olmedo

Ecuador Primera Division, Segunda Etapa

My first thought for this round was to go for Universidad Catolica, but odds dropping like crazy there and Emelec only with a mixed squad (not alternative), making that match completely without any value. But for this game, despite the odds being much lower, it also looks more achievable. Espoli is one of the 3 teams that are involved in the relegation, and besides having the highest chances of saving themselves from dropping into Serie B, they also have the easiest fixture of this last round. Macara has a tough travel to El Nacional, Catolica plays at home against a 'mixed' Emelec, while Espoli are going at home against Olmedo, a team just as poor as they are, but a team that is safe, without an objective, waiting for the holiday period. Both teams will be with full squads, but as I said, I question Olmedo's players level of committment and interest in this game. Espoli is preparing a formation with 5 midfielders, so as to dominate the midfield and get the ball back quickly if they lose it, going fast in attack. A draw should be enough here for 'The Police' team, but only if Catolica doesn't win. And since everybody knows it's risky business to wait for another result when you can solve the problem yourself, I'm confident Espoli will go for the win today. GL!

Espoli (-0.5 AH) @ 1.78, 4/10
Result: 3-0, WON

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