Ecuador, Serie A
I really don't think El Nacional should be an underdog here. Loja won Serie B last year, and have earned their promotion, 5 years after their previous experience in the top division, but they weren't too dominant as to really pose a threat to the top half teams of Serie A. Their squad consists mainly of local players, recruited from the club ranks (reserve team, juvenile team, etc) along with a few of the players that promoted the team and a couple of more experienced players. And that doesn't seem even close to enough to avoid the drop at the end of the season. This year, they could have some big chances to repeat their performances from 2005, when in Clausura they lost 11 out of 18 games. Against El Nacional they also have an awful record, losing all 4 matches, and at home they made some record breaking scores, losing 2-5 and 1-7. El Nacional looks well prepared for this tournament, having recorded good results in the friendlies that they played. The squad is more or less the same as last season, with a few additions, of course, and they once again look like mid-table material... and should be much better than Loja. GL!
El Nacional (-0.25 AH) @ 2.35, 3/10
Result: 2-1, LOST
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