Feb 2, 2011

Jaguares Chiapas - Alianza Lima

Copa Libertadores

Huge odds on Alianza in my opinion. Yes, they made a disastrous match in the first leg, but they can't possibly play any poorer than that. They are 0-2 behind in this qualifying leg, and they have to give all they got in order to maintain their hopes of reaching the group stages. It's going to be tough, as Jaguares showed some close-to-perfect tactics last week, but seriously, Alianza priced at 4.7... I was expecting the handicap lines to be at +0, and I probably still would have taken them, but with +0.75... Everyone at the club has expressed optimism, not necessarily for the qualification, but at least to change the image they left after the first game. And regardless of that first leg result, I still see Alianza as the better club here. Coach Costas will probably make some changes, fielding 3 or 4 younger players instead of those who disappointed the most last week, and this could prove to be a good idea, as they will try their hardest to impress, especially since 2 of them (Leonardo Castro and Junior Viza) are new signings. And with Jaguares looking in a slight decline of form recently in the league (lost the last 2 games, and are winless for 3 matches), they might be surprised by the Peruvians, especially if they start the match thinking the 2-0 snatched in Peru would suffice. The high odds/low lines on Alianza are a must try in my opinion. GL!

Alianza Lima (+0.75 AH) @ 1.96, 4/10
Result: 2-0, LOST

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