Mar 4, 2011

LDU Quito - Independiente

Copa Libertadores

The odds on LDU finally rose a bit, and now they look much more try-able than before. As I wrote about it last week, Independiente is reversing the strategy that saw them win last year's Copa Sudamericana. This time, he is saving his regulars for the Argentinian league, while making rotations in the squad for Libertadores. They were in a bad relegation position last week, and their last defeat against River put them even more in danger. This strategy helped worked for them with Penarol, but I doubt it will work again in Quito, at altitude, and against a team that comes after a series of good results. They come after 3 consecutive wins, and no one is thinking of losing the 3 points today, mainly because of 2 reasons: LDU lost in the first match, at Godoy, and another fail tonight will put them in a big risk of not qualifying in the next stage; then, there is the revenge factor, as Independiente knocked them out of last year's Copa Sudamericana. Then, LDU made a good match at home, putting themselves ahead 3-0, but a few good minutes from Independiente, and a few defensive mistakes saw the Argentinians turning the score, losing by a narrow 2-3, which was enough to see them in the next phase. For tonight, coach Bauza throws everything he has in the battle, and the important news is that striker Barcos is fit to start the match, as well as defender Caicedo, who recovered from an injury. They should win the match, quite easily I would say, and with the current odds is worth a try in my opinion. GL!

LDU (-1 AH) @ 1.88, 4/10
Result: 3-0, WON

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