Feb 28, 2011

Juan Aurich - CNI

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

Lower lines with higher odds, in comparison to last weekend's match. I was on Aurich -1.5 then, and only a total retardation from them made me lose the bet, as they were leading 2-0 and found themselves equalized in the closing stage of the match (conceded in '82 and '86). Lack of concentration probably, as they scored the winner eventually, in the last seconds of play. Hope they have learned something from this, and we'll see them more focused tonight, knowing that the match lasts 90 minutes, not 80. Because otherwise they played a good match, could have easily been more than 2-0, and up until those final minutes they were looking solid, and their win seemed like a lock. Meanwhile, CNI looks like a super crappy team. They were trashed at Cesar Vallejo with 0-3 in the first round, while last week they played with 2 extra men at home against Universitario, and barely managed to equalize, after an 84th minute penalty. They were unable to put pressure on a wounded Universitario, and despite their advantage in the number of players, they were second best on the pitch for long periods of time. Unless some dramatic improvements, I don't see them standing much chances in front of Aurich, and there is no reason to believe they improved in just a week. So it's all going to be up to Aurich to close the match, and I hope they won't make the same mistake again. GL!

Juan Aurich (-1.25 AH) @ 2.02, 4/10
Result: 2-2, LOST

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