Guarani - Tacuary

Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura

One more bet for today, as I really like the odds on the team that won last year's Apertura, and this year isn't bad at all, sitting on 6th place, but with 2 matches to be played, where if they win, they'll jump on 3rd place, 6 points behind the leaders. Guarani were a real disappointment in Libertadores, as they finished their campaign without managing a single point, so now they have to turn to the league in order to wash some of the shame away. They're not in the best of forms, with only 1 win (against Cerro Porteno) in the last 4 matches, but none of them was easy (lost at Luqueno - undefeated at home and Guarani with rotations, drew at Libertad, and lost at league leaders Nacional). All of their 3 matches that they haven't won were away, while at home they boast a record of 4 wins out of 5 games, being still undefeated, along with Luqueno. On the other side, Tacuary's imagination is at an all-time low, as against the big teams they change absolutely nothing in their ultra-defensive tactics, defending with almost the entire team, and hoping for a good counter. And sometimes it works (against Libertad, Olimpia), while sometimes it doesn't (Nacional). Their first match of the season ended 0-0 at Tacuary, and this one won't be a walk in the park either for Guarani, but with some solid odds, it's worth a bet on them. GL!

Guarani (-0.5 AH) @ 1.99, 4/10

Result: 1-2, LOST