Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura
Nacional keeps going with their red-hot form, as they appear to be unstoppable, after notching up 7 consecutive wins in the league, taking over the top place both in the Clausura and in the Aggregate tables. 3 more points today will see them edge the Final spot even closer, and, worst case scenario, they will at least preserve their 3 points lead on Penarol. And this match seems like a no-brainer, if we keep in mind the lowly stature of their opponents and the great form that Nacional is passing through. Despite a crucial match in Libertadores next week, coach Carrasco will only rest Gallardo, while top scorer Garcia will be out with an injury. Pretty big miss, but the other 3 strikers planned to start - Viudez, Fornaroli and Peralta - can do a pretty good job, especially against one of the poorest defenses in the league. River is safe for the moment, but with just 4 points ahead of the relegation line, they have to do something if they don't want to be caught in the red zone come the end of the season. Both teams have been involved in quite a few high-scoring games lately (Nacional - has scored 3 goals in 5 of their last 6 games; River - involved in 6 matches with at least 3 goals, from 8 played). Head-2-head is interesting, as before last year's 6-1 win for Nacional, River had an incredible 5 consecutive won matches. Odds are incredibly poor for the away win, and the handicap is quite huge, but the over 3 line seems a good choice, especially since in their last 10 direct encounter, there were 47 goals scored. GL!
over 3 goals @ 1.98, 4/10
Result: 4-2, WON
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