Apr 11, 2011

Tacuarembo - Nacional Montevideo

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

Following a dreadful Apertura, Tacuarembo has apparently found some form in Clausura, and after finishing the first tournament with just 5 points in 15 rounds, now they have 12 points after 8 rounds, and have a remote chances of fighting at the top. Neither of their winning matches were against one of the top teams of the league (they actually failed miserably when they had a real challenge: 0-5 loss against Penarol last round), but even so, they shouldn't be such big underdogs tonight. Nacional is in tremendous form, not losing a single match of their last 7, in all competitions, but the players that did most of the hard work in that series are starting to feel the fatigue, as they had a hectic schedule. So the coach will rest several of his key players, in order to keep them fresh for the remaining matches of the league and Libertadores, where they are in a very even group, with equal chances both to qualify and to get knocked-out. So tonight are expected to start some of the players that also featured in the first few matches of the year, when Nacional was far from their name, and had a run of 4 games without a win. If Tacuarembo would have had the same form as last year, this would have been a big 'no bet', but with some clear improvements visible, I think they can surprise, and even if they lose, don't see them losing by more than 1 goal. GL!

Tacuarembo (+1 AH) @ 2.00, 4/10
Result: 0-3, LOST

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