Jul 5, 2011

Chile - Mexico

Copa America

Don't understand why the odds are still so high for this match. Under FIFA rules, Mexico are allowed to participate in this tournament using their Olympic U-23 team, along with 5 senior players (over 23 years). Though the final list hasn't been submitted yet, the preliminary list looks very weak. From the 25 players on that list, 17 have never played for the national team. Jonathan dos Santos, from Barcelona B, is the only known players in the squad, and the only one to play outside of Mexico (Carlos Vela was also on that list, but he was later withdrawn). So a team that looks very weak on paper, and honestly, I don't expect them to make a big fuss in this competition. Chile hasn't finalized their list either, but from the 28 players nominated, we can see some real classy names: Claudio Bravo from Real Sociedad, Matias Fernandez from Sporting and Alexis Sanchez from Udinese, just to name a few, and there is no reason to believe they will miss out of the final list. Chile showed some good football in the World Cup, with roughly the same players, so I expect them to also have a good run in Copa America. Their opening match against Mexico should be a morale boost, should they get the win, and I see them as clear favorites if we take into account the quality of their players, and the experience difference between them and Mexico's squad. Odds should be around 1.40 in my opinion, so the current odds represent huge value. GL!

Chile (-0.5 AH) @ 2.12, 6/10
Result: 2-1, WON

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