Sep 16, 2011

Olimpia - Emelec

Copa Sudamericana

This game smells like an over from a very long way. We have two teams with very solid offensive lines, and both of them are adepts of scoring one more than their opponents. Olimpia made 8 overs in their last 10 matches, and they have also conceded at least once in 8 of them. So they clearly have some defensive issues, a thing also highlighted last weekend, in their 1-3 defeat away at lowly Luqueno. Emelec also plays offensive minded football, thanks to their coach's mentality of 'all-in attack', and although they still haven't been playing at the expected level, they do try to score, and they also leave a lot of spaces behind, spaces that can be an advantage for Olimpia's good strikers and midfielders. Emelec has fewer overs than Olimpia, but that shouldn't matter too much, as most of the Ecuadorian teams are defensive minded when playing against the big teams, and they choose to bunk up in defense, a thing that Olimpia for sure won't do. So, I expect both teams to score, and I'd be very surprised if this bet doesn't go in. Odds are also very good. GL!

over 2.5 goals @ 2.07, 4/10
Result: 2-1, WON

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