Ecuador Serie A, Segunda Etapa
Again pretty much unexplainable odds, as I would have definitely set Olmedo as slight favorites here. Independiente has been finding it hard to sum up points, and they are only 1 point ahead of the relegation area. Surprisingly, they feel more comfortable when playing as visitors, as they are undefeated in the last 4 away games (including a shock 2-1 win at LDU), but when it comes to playing at home, where they have to attack and orchestrate the game, they look like a different team, losing 6 of their last 10 games. Due to a couple of absences in the team, coach Sevilla will again go with some youth players, like defender Ramirez, midfielder Rua and striker Sornoza, but they are yet to prove capable of playing at this level (Rua played a part in 8 matches so far, and failed to make an impact, in comparison to Samaniego - who he is replacing, who made 2 assists in 3 games). Olmedo is obviously the better team overall, are also seem to be in much better form, losing just 3 games in the second stage, and 2 of them were against the giants Barcelona and Deportivo Quito. Olmedo hasn't won at Independiente in the last years (played only 3 games), but they did record 2 draws. And with Independiente's current form, I see them capable again of snatching at least a point (although I think a win is quite likely). As I said, I see Olmedo as slight favorites here, so the line appears to be very good. GL!
Olmedo (+0.25 AH) @ 1.78, 3/10
Result: 3-0, LOST
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