Mar 3, 2012

Guarani - Tacuary

Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura

This bet has pretty much the same reasoning as the one from last week, for Nacional and Sol de America. Guarani come into this match with just 4 points gathered in 4 matches, and that may seem a bit poor, until we look at who their opponents were, and how the matches went. First there was a 3-1 win over Independiente (red card for the losers, but the win was deserved anyway), but after that a bad run of form appeared. However, it was against some of the better teams of the league: 1-2 loss at an always complicated Rubio Nu (Guarani played in 10 men for about 20 minutes), 1-3 home loss against Nacional (one of the best teams in the league, and Guarani also had their keeper sent off after 20 minutes, with the score being 1-0) and a creditable 2-2 draw away at Libertad. For today, goalkeeper Aurrecochea will be absent, still being suspended, but I don't rate that as very important, as I doubt Tacuary will reach the opposition's goal too often. Speaking of Tacuary, they have a very young squad, lost a lot of important players during the summer break, and also have a very young and inexperienced coach (only 24 years old, the son of the president). And the results are far from great, being still without a win after 4 rounds, and their only good moment came in a home draw with Libertad. Otherwise, they have a home loss with Rubio, defeated at Nacional, and only a 0-0 home draw with poor Luqueno. Guarani might be an unstable team, but they are coming into this match on a higher note, and with quality and experience also on their side, they should win this match. GL!

Guarani (-0.5 AH) @ 1.90, 3/10
Result: 4-0, WON

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