Apr 2, 2012

FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

I guess by now everybody knows the story by now: Alianza will use a mixed squad, mostly reserves, for this match, in order to rest their regulars for their last chance to qualify to the next stage of Copa Libertadores. But besides that, they are also in a deep financial and administrative crisis, and as a result of that they had some points deducted, and are now sitting dead-last in the standings, with -2 points. However, I think that this will only motivate the Alianza players, and they will fight even harder for a win today. And besides, looking at the squad that traveled to Arequipa, we can still see a lot of good players, like Libman, Edson Aubert, Miguel Curiel, Cristofer Soto or Junior Viza. So they still have plenty of quality left, and with that extra-motivation that I expect after the points deduction, they certainly won't be such easy victims as the current odds suggest. Melgar have been doing fine until now, with 2 wins from 4 matches, but when they faced some real opposition, they lost tragically, 1-4 at Cesar Vallejo. The high altitude could be considered an advantage, but Alianza are one of the teams that can cope with that. So, all in all, regardless of the circumstances, the current odds have some nice value, so let's hope Alianza won't disappoint.

Alianza (+0.5 AH) @ 2.32, 3/10
Result: 3-0, LOST

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