Mar 24, 2013

Nacional Asuncion - General Diaz

Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura

I'm sure we would have had much lower odds if this match would have been played in the first round of the championship... but after an impressive start from General Diaz, the bookies are overreacting, thus giving us some nice odds. I'm not denying General Diaz's merits here, as it is an extraordinary feat to have 6 consecutive wins after their promotion to the top division, and to see among those wins some high-profile results like 1-0 as visitors against Olimpia and Guarani. However, this form won't be lasting forever, and they are bound to go on a downward trend soon. And Nacional looks like the best team to end this run for them. They are on second place, 3 points behind Diaz, with5 out of 6 wins. Besides the shameful defeat at Cerro de Franco (2-5), they also have some good wins, like the 1-0 against Libertad, and the morale boosting 3-0 win against Olimpia. They will definitely miss Silvio Torrales, who is on international duty, but other than that, they shouldn't have too many squad problems. General Diaz certainly won't be pushovers here, but with a solid team, good form and also with the home advantage, Nacional should take this. GL!

Nacional (-0.5 AH) @ 1.86, 4/10
Result: 1-0, WON

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