Nov 10, 2010

FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo

Peru Primera Division, Liguilla B

I'm surprised to see such high odds on this match, especially with Huancayo's famous poor results out of their home stadium. Indeed, Melgar won't find an ally in the high altitude, as both these teams are playing 'high', but home advantage should still be present. Huancayo won a single match on the road, and even when playing against other teams at altitdude, they still had problems (won 3-0 at Cienciano - but when they were in the deepest point of their crisis... otherwise, they lost early in the championship at the same Cienciano, drew at Melgar, lost at Inti Gas, and lost twice with Leon). I rate these teams as quite on the same level, and as a proof we can see that in their 7 games played since last year, neither team has won as a visitor, just the 1-1 draw at Melgar earlier this season. Besides that, Melgar should also be the more motivated side, as they are still threatened a bit by the relegation, and a win today will 99% save them, while Huancayo is already clear of any worries. The -0.25 handicap is a must try in my opinion, as the odds don't really reflect Huancayo's abilities when it comes to away games. GL!

FBC Melgar (-0.25 AH) @ 1.80, 3/10
Result: 2-0, WON

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