Mar 20, 2011

Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional

Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa

Going for a surprise result here. Ever since the season has started, me (and probably others) have been expecting Deportivo Cuenca to crumble into pieces. The reasons for that are the massive change that took place in the team since the end of last season until the start of the new one. Cuenca had some financial problems, and they had to give up on a lot of their more experienced (and high-paid) players, so for 2011 they started with a very young team, with little experience. But, their recent results have been confusing for everybody, as after the first 8 rounds, they are the only undefeated team in Ecuador, with 4 wins and 4 draws. Still, their only 2 matches against more serious opponents were at home, against Deportivo Quito and Barcelona, and they drew in both. I'm still expecting them to lose anytime now, and maybe today it will be a good chance for that happening. They will miss 2 regulars: defender Carlos Castro (injured) and midfielder Gregory Gonzalez (suspended). El Nacional passed over their scratchy start of the season, and found 2 consecutive wins, against Independiente and Emelec. That will surely help with the morale as they visit Cuenca. Worth mentioning is that the hosts are 1-2-0 at home, and the last 4 matches played between these teams (all of them last season) have finished 0-0. Good chances for another draw today, or perhaps it's time for Cuenca to finally lose against a team that seems to have found it's form. GL!

El Nacional (+0.5 AH) @ 2.00, 3/10
Result: 2-2, WON

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