Mar 24, 2011

Emelec - Olmedo

Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa

Emelec will have to play one of it's postponed matches tonight, and they have a great chance of equalizing the leaders (provided they will all 3 matches that they haven't played), so any wrong turn they take might cause a huge set-back in their title campaign. They look as strong as ever at home, despite the lack of an advantage of altitude, and this season they have won all 3 matches played in Guayaquil, with 7 goals scored. The quality of their defeated opponents hasn't been great (LDU Loja, Imbabura and Independiente), and while Olmedo should be better than the three afore-mentioned teams, they are still miles behind Emelec. 3 players will surely miss today's match for the Electrics, with midfielder Fernando Gimenez suspended, and goalkeeper Klimowicz and midfielder David Quiroz called to the national team. Only Klimowicz's absence could be considered as important, as for the other 2 they have adequate substitutes, but I doubt Olmedo will reach Emelec's goal too often, so that should matter too much. Olmedo comes after a 4-0 trashing of Barcelona, but that match should be far from a reference point, as currently, Barcelona is awful, and anyone could beat them. Last season, Emelec won all their 4 games against Olmedo. The odds for this line are quite low, but I'm happy with the line, as a narrow victory is very possible, but Emelec has the quality to double it, and win with ease. GL!

Emelec (-0.75 AH) @ 1.73, 3/10
Result: 3-1, WON

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