Feb 17, 2013

Cienciano - Real Garcilaso

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

I'm gonna take this bet early, without waiting for any line-up confirmation, because regardless of the playing conditions, this has a certain amount of value. First of all, I am expecting some changes in Garcilaso's team, as this would be their third match in 7 days, and just a couple of days later they will have to travel to Paraguay for another Libertadores clash against Cerro Porteno. They showed some good performances so far, despite the fact that most of the key players from last season have left the team, but this time it should be slightly different, as the regulars will be tired, while the reserves probably still need time to blend in with the team. Cienciano should be well rested, as they didn't have to play a single match so far, so they should have had more than enough time to prepare for this Clasico (both teams are from Cuzco, and even share the same stadium, so there won't be any home/altitude advantage). Last year they exchanged wins and points, with either team taking the victory when playing as 'hosts', so I'm expecting something similar to happen. Garcilaso doesn't have such a strong squad to focus on more competitions at the same time, and the good start they have in Libertadores should make them look to Cerro Porteno. GL!

Cienciano (+0.25 AH) @ 2.04, 4/10
Result: 0-1, LOST

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