Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
This bet is a bit risky, but I just can't turn down this huge handicap on the Venezuelans. Tachira made a solid performance in their debut against Corinthians, holding the Brazilians to a draw, and could have even gotten away with the win, if it weren't for that 94th minute equalizer from Timao. Tachira showed good defending in that match, always with 7 players near their area, and had a couple of lethal surges on the counter-attack, including a disallowed goal. Defense will probably be their game plan again tonight, and if they do it as well as one week ago, the Mexicans will find it hard to score. Especially since Cruz Azul is known for being irregular. They made a good match in Paraguay, but both goals were scored after some defensive mistakes from Nacional. About their irregularity, I think it's enough to say that despite being the only undefeated team in the local league, they have only managed to win 2 of their 7 matches. They are for sure the better team in terms of quality here, but for this bet to be completly lost, they need a win by a 3-goal margin, and that's far from easy to achieve against a team that defends well and fights for every ball. (As a side note, last year Tachira never lost by more than 2 goals, despite being in a group with Cerro Porteno, Colo Colo and Santos, and away from home, only Santos managed to beat them by a 2-goal margin). A bit risky, but the high handicap makes it worth a try. GL!
Tachira (+1.75 AH) @ 1.80, 4/10
Result: 4-0, LOST
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