Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura
Small derby between two teams that share the same name, but don't also share the same expectations for this season. Cerro Porteno wants the title, and it could be a nice boost for their local campaign the fact that they are not playing in Copa Libertadores, which should give them more breathing time. However, they appear to have only reinforced themselves in offense, with the signing of Santiago Salcedo (who will be a starter tonight, along Nanni and supported by dos Santos), while in the back they still seem quite weak, receiving 3 goals in two matches, from non-impressive teams like Luqueno or Carapegua. So, after a hard fought victory last week (2-1 against Carapegua, with the winner scored in the 94th minute), Cerro must put in a classy performance here, in front of their fans, so I'm expecting to see some goals. Cerro de Franco don't seem like the team that are able to put some problems to Cerro Porteno, but scoring a goal is possible. However, their weakest point, and the strong point of this bet, is the defensive line, a very poor one, that managed to concede 4 goals from Sol de America. This should go down as an easy win for the hosts, but don't count out the visitors' chances to score, therefore a minimum of 3 goals is more than possible. GL!
over 2.75 goals @ 1.70, 3/10
Result: 1-0, LOST
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